You are here2007 March Madness - 1st Round Selection Help - #4 Seeds


2007 March Madness - 1st Round Selection Help - #4 Seeds


By hagrin - Posted on 13 March 2007

We've already covered seeds 1-3 for the 2007 March Madness opening round to help you with your bracket selections, but that was the easy part. Let's start to analyze the tougher first round matchups for seeds 4 through 6.

#4 Seeds
This is a very ecclectic group of #4 seeds and I found at least 2 of these games extremely difficult to pick. Virginia will be playing Albany, the team that surprised UConn last year in the first half and was rewarded with a 13 seed instead of a 16. Albany does have tournament experience and has strong guard play and should be able to slow down the pace enough to keep this game close. However, Virginia has one of the best back courts in the nation and when a mid-major has the same strength as a major team, you take the major team so select Virginia in your brackets.

Texas, and man child Kevin Durant, are matched up against New Mexico State out in Spokane, Washington. Texas just played in a very tough Big 12 conference tournament and I'm very worried about fatigue here. In addition, Texas is very inexperienced, but luckily enough for bracket selectors, so is New Mexico State. This game is going to be much closer than people think, but I can't see Durant, James and Augustine all being shut down, but can Texas play enough defense? New Mexico State has a little "magic" with former NBA player Reggie Theus as the coach and he will be able to get his team up for this game while I consider Barnes a great recruiter, but a poor in-game coach. New Mexico State likes to attack the basket and if they could somehow get Durant in foul trouble, NMSU could win this game. Straight up I'm going to pick Texas, but I would pick NMSU against the spread.

The next two 4v13 games are so close to call, they really could go either way. Maryland will face off against Davidson in Buffalo, NY. Although Maryland slipped up in the ACC conference tournament, Maryland was one of the hottest teams in the NCAA with a 7 game regular season winning streak against some of the ACC's best. Maryland has balanced scoring, good wing players, good outside shooting, great size and athleticism. After hearing all of that you would think that Maryland should have an easy time against most opponents. However, in Stephen Curry, Davidson might have the best player on the court. Curry, a freshman, is a fantastic outside shooter averaging over 21 points a game and outside shooting is the great equalizer between teams of differing talent levels. Unfortunately for Davidson, they oculdn't get a worse matchup in terms of styles. Davidson has had a problem with turning the ball over with Curry, Richars and Meno all having bad TO numbers and with Maryland's ability to pressure the ball on the perimeter and with active interior defenders, Davidson will have difficulties outscoring Maryland. Again, these teams have similar styles, but Maryland has the superior interior and should prevail.

The last 4v13 matchup features Southern Illinois vs. Holy Cross. SIU is known for their tough nosed defense, but suffer from a sometimes stagnant offense. Holy Cross will play zone and force SIU to hit their outside shots which may prove to be a problem for the MVC team. Neither team has alot of size inside either so that may hide Holy Cross' weakness which is rebounding. Of all the 4v13 matchups, this is definitely upset city potential due to the fact that SIU can't score and the game should come down to the very end just due to the offensive struggles of both teams. This game may come down to free throw shooting, in which case, Holy Cross has the edge. I have Holy Cross in my bracket - one of the first upsets I have selected.